[正版书籍]城市与区域规划研究方法(第2版)

介绍了规划及其影响分析的方法，帮助读者提高收集、分析、和展示数据的能力，掌握如何做、什么时间、在哪里、如何应用适当的方法。

Acronyms  VII 

List of Figures  XI 

List of Tables . XIII 

1 Introduction: Planning Analysis Methods . 1 

1.1 Planning  1 
1.2 PlanningAnalysis  3 
1.3 StructureoftheBook . 5 
References . 7 

2 Demographic Analysis . 9 

2.1 Introduction  9 

2.1.1 TypologyofProjectionMethods  11 

2.2  Demographic Analysis—FundamentalConcepts  14 

2.3  Components of Change—Demographic Reasons forPopulationChange  22 
2.3.1 Fertility  23 

2.3.2 Mortality . 27 

2.3.3 Migration  32 

2.4 TrendExtrapolationMethods . 35 

2.4.1 ShareofGrowthMethod . 38 

2.4.2 Shift-ShareMethod . 40 

2.4.3 LinearPopulationModel . 41 

2.4.4 GeometricPopulationModel  46 

2.4.5 ParabolicPopulationModel . 50 

2.4.6 LogisticPopulationModel  54 

2.5 Cohort-ComponentMethod . 63 

2.5.1 TheMortalityComponent  66 

2.5.2 TheNetMigrationComponent . 69 

2.5.3 TheFertilityComponent . 72 

2.5.4 BringingAllComponentsTogether . 75 

2.5.5 TheHamilton-PerryMethod . 77 

IV  Contents 
2.6 ConcludingRemarks 81 
ReviewQuestions  85 
Exercises  86 
References . 88 

3 Economic Analysis  91 

3.1  Introduction  91 

3.2  TheEconomicBaseTheory  92 

3.3  UnderstandingYourRegionalEconomy . 94 

3.4  AssessingtheStateofaRegionalEconomy . 104 

3.4.1 Compiling a Regional Economic Pro.le  104 

3.4.2 PreliminaryConsideration  110 

3.5  EconomicBaseAnalysisTechniques  121 

3.5.1 TheSurveyMethod . 123 

3.5.2 TheAssumptionMethod . 124 

3.5.3 TheLocationQuotientMethod . 127 

3.6  Evaluating Regional Economies Using the Economic Base MultiplierandShift-ShareAnalysis . 148 
3.6.1 TheEconomicBaseMultiplier . 149 

3.6.2 Shift-ShareAnalysis  155 
ReviewQuestions  167 
Exercises  168 
References . 170 

4 Financial Analysis . 173 

4.1  Introduction  173 

4.2  Time Value of Money and Financial Mathematics       179 
4.2.1 Interest Rate (i), Interest, and Compound Interest    . 180 
4.2.2 InterestPeriod . 181 

4.2.3 EffectiveInterestRate . 181 

4.2.4 FutureValue(FV)foraSinglePayment  182 

4.2.5 Future Value (FV) for a Uniform Series of Payments   183 
4.2.6 Present Value (PV) of a Single Future Payment     184 
4.2.7 Present Value (PV) of a Uniform Series of Payments   185 
4.2.8 OrdinaryAnnuities . 186 

4.2.9 More Advanced Financial Calculations        . 189 
4.3  Net Present Value (NPV)Method  195 

4.4  Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Method . 199 

4.5  Equivalent Uniform Annual Cash Flow Method        205 
4.6  Cost-Bene.tAnalysis(CBA) . 210 

4.7 Conclusion . 221 
ReviewQuestions  222 
FurtherReading . 223 

Contents 
5 Land Use Analysis  225 

5.1 Introduction  225 

5.2 LandUseandHumanActivities . 227 

5.3 Land Classi.cation. 231 

5.3.1  The Bartholomew Land Use Classi.cationSystem  231 
5.3.2  TheStandardLandUseCodingManual  232 

5.3.3  The Anderson Land Use/Land Cover Classi.cation System  232 
5.3.4  The Land-Based Classi.cationStandard  235 

5.4 LandDatabaseandLandMapping . 240 

5.4.1  LandDatabase . 241 

5.4.2  LandDataSources  246 

5.4.3  LandMapping . 247 

5.4.4  LandUseChange  250 

5.5 ImpactAnalysis . 251 

5.6 LandSuitabilityAnalysis  256 

5.6.1  The Eight-Step Land Suitability Analysis       . 256 
5.7 GIS-BasedLandSuitabilityAnalysis  265 

5.7.1  DataPreparation . 266 

5.7.2  CalculationofCompositeScores . 275 

5.7.3 DelineationofDevelopableLand . 276 
ReviewQuestions  279 
Exercises  279 
References . 280 

6 Transportation Analysis  283 

6.1 Introduction  283 

6.2 Basic Concepts in Transportation Analysis          285 
6.3 OverviewofTransportationAnalysis  290 

6.4 Street Classi.cation  291 

6.5 LevelofService . 294 

6.6 TravelDemandModeling  296 

6.6.1  TripGeneration  298 

6.6.2  TripDistribution . 312 

6.6.3  ModeChoice  319 

6.6.4  TripAssignment . 327 

6.7 GIS-BasedJobAccessibilityAnalysis . 332 

6.7.1  DataPreparation . 333 

6.7.2  CalculationofJobAccessibility  335 

6.8 CritiqueandLimitations . 336 
ReviewQuestions  340 
Exercises  341 
References . 344 

Index  347 

The book aids planners in answering the following crucial questions: “Who are they?”, “What do they do?”, “Where do these activities occur?”, "How human activities are connected?”, "What are the economic effects?". In addition to detailed explanations of the selected methods, the book provides a context (scenario analysis) for applying them in performance assessment and impact analysis.

Dr. Wang is a Professor of Planning in the School of Planning, University of Cincinnati. He holds a Ph.D. in City and Regional Planning from the University of Pennsylvania, a Master of Community Planning from the University of Rhode Island, a Master of Science in Geo-Sciences and a Bachelor of Science in Geography from Peking University, Beijing, China. He teaches courses in Geographic Information Systems (GIS), environmental planning, statistics, and planning research methods.