正版 中国消费(构建双循环新发展格局)(英文版) 迟福林 五洲传播

Foreword / 1Overview China in the New Era of Consumption / 5I. Main Trend in the New Era of Consumption / 6II. Consumption Upgrading Promoting High-Quality Development / 9III. Promote Structural Reform in the Context of Consumption-Oriented Transformation / 12Chapter 1 The Worlds Largest Consumer Market / 21Section 1 Enter the New Era of Consumption / 22I. Continual Expansion of Consumption Scale / 22II. Overall Rapid Growth of New Forms of Consumption / 31III. Formation of New Consumer Groups / 37IV. Popularization of New Consumption Concepts / 40V. Impetus for Entering the New Era of Consumption / 44Section 2 Consumption under the Impact of Pandemic / 48I. 2020: Consumption Was Seriously Impacted by the Pandemic / 48II. Pandemic Has not Changed the Long-Term Growth Trend of Consumption / 52Section 3 14th Five-Year Plan: Consumption Will Maintain Fairly Rapid Growth / 55I. Continual Growth of Consumer Market / 55II. Consumption Standard Keeps on Rising / 58III. China Will Become the Worlds Largest Consumer Market / 60Chapter 2 Cities Drive Consumption / 69Section 1 Integration of Urbanization with Consumption Upgrading / 70I. Consumption Upgrading and Urbanization / 70II. Urbanization Drives Consumption Upgrading / 72III. Consumption Function and Consumption Bearing Capacity Influence the Competitiveness of Cities / 76IV. Cities in China Strive to Foster New Forms of Consumption / 80Section 2 Growth Space for Consumption in Urbanization / 84I. Urbanization Is Still in Accelerated Development / 84II. Urbanization Brings Huge Consumption and Investment Demands / 87III. Urbanization Produces Huge Scale Effect of Public Consumption / 91IV. Continuous Release of Consumption Demands Triggered by Urbanization / 94Section 3 Big Cities and Metropolitan Areas Become Consumption Centers / 96I. New Trend of Population Gathering in Central Cities and City Clusters / 97II. Metropolitan Areas Become a Windvane Leading Consumption Upgrading / 100III. Regional Integration Pushes the Development of Regional Consumption Center Cities / 104Section 4 International Influence of Urbanization and Consumption Upgrading / 107I. An Emerging Power in Pursuit of International Quality for Commodities and Services / 107II. Rising of International Consumption Center Cities / 111III. Important Influence on Regional Economy and World Economy / 114Chapter 3 Promote Rural Consumption in All Aspects / 122Section 1 Rural Area Is a Big Consumer Market / 123I. A Massive Rural Population in China / 123II. Income Level of Rural Residents Keeps on Rising / 126III. Rural Area Is a Growing Big Consumer Market / 132Section 2 Silent Changes in Rural Consumption / 136I. Upgrading of Durable Consumer Goods for Rural Residents / 136II. Rapid Growing of Public Consumption Demands of Rural Residents / 140III. Fairly Rapid Growth of New Types of Consumption of Rural Residents / 143Section 3 Promote New Types of Rural Consumption in All Aspects / 148I. Provide Important Conditions for the Overall Development of New Types of Rural Consumption by Sending Elements to Rural Areas / 148II. Promote New Types of Rural Consumption with Integrated Development of Industries / 152III. Promote the Development of Green Agriculture with Green Consumption / 155IV. Push the Development of Intelligent Agriculture with Digital Consumption / 160Chapter 4 Consumption Gives Rise to Industrial Transformation / 166Section 1 Benign Interaction of Consumption Structure Upgrading with Industrial Structure Transformation / 167I. Upgrading of Industrial Structure Is Accompanied by Evolution of Consumption Structure / 167II. The New Trend of Service-Oriented Consumption Gives Rise to New Forms in the Development of Service Industry / 171III. 2025: Service Industry Will Account for about 60% / 173Section 2 Consumption Structure Upgrading Will Promote Scientific and Technological Transformation / 177I. The Upgrading of Consumption Structure Provides an Application Market for Technological Transformation / 177II. Modern Information Technology Accelerates Digital Transformation of Industries / 183III. Reshape the Core Competitiveness of Industries / 188IV. Seize the First Change of the New Round of Global Industrial Revolution with Intelligent Manufacturing / 192Section 3 Green Consumption Promotes the Development of Green Industries / 195I. Green Consumption Promotes the Green Transformation of Traditional Industries / 196II. Speed up the Process of New Energy Revolution / 200III. Green Consumption Pushes China to Achieve Peak Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Carbon Neutrality / 205Chapter 5 Chinas Consumption: Significantly Positive to the Worlds Economic Growth / 212Section 1 The Worlds Largest Services Market and Trader of Services / 213I. China Will Become the Worlds Largest Services Market / 213II. Development Trend of the Service Trade / 216III. High-Quality Development of the Service Trade / 222IV. 2035: China Will Become the Worlds Largest Trader in Services / 228Section 2 Hainan Free Trade Port: Create the Worlds Largest Duty-Free Shopping Base / 231I. Creating the Worlds Largest Duty-Free Shopping Base as an Important Goal / 231II. China International Consumer Products Expo: A New Platform for the World to Share the Consumption by 1.4 Billion People in China / 234III. Improving the Duty-Free Shopping Service System Through the China International Consumer Products Expo / 238Section 3 Institutional Opening-Up in the Context of Consumption-Oriented Transformation / 241I. Push Forward High-Level Institutional Opening-Up Process / 241II. Institutional Opening-Up Forced by the Consumption-Oriented Transformation / 246III. Push Forward Major Tasks of Consumption-Oriented Transformation with Institutional Opening-Up / 249IV. Push Forward the In-Depth Integration of China Market with World Market with Institutional Opening-Up / 254

迟福林，研究员，博士生导师，第十一届、十二届全国政协委员。中国（海南）改革发展研究院院长。兼任中国经济体制改革研究会副会长、中国行政体制改革研究会副会长。国家“十三五”规划专家委员会委员。国家行政学院、中国井冈山干部学院、北京大学、浙江大学、东北大学等多家高等院校的特聘教授。 多年致力于经济转轨理论与实践研究，围绕我国改革开放进程中的重大经济、社会问题，在政府转型和基本公共服务均等化等方面进行深入研究。在上述研究领域，共出版中英文专著四十余部，公开发表学术论文八百余篇，形成研究报告七十余部，提交了大量政策建议报告，在决策和实践层面产生了积极影响。曾获得“五个一工程奖”、“孙冶方经济科学论文奖”、“中国发展研究奖”等研究奖项。享受国务院特殊津贴专家，2002年被中组部、中宣部、国家人事部和国家科学技术部联合授予“全国杰出专业技术人才”荣誉称号，2009年入选“影响新中国60年经济建设的100位经济学家”，2015年入选《20世纪中国知名科学家学术成就概览（经济学卷）》。

2020年的新冠肺炎疫情给中国消费带来严重冲击。在这个背景下，未来5-10年中国消费的增长趋势如何？消费结构将发生哪些重要变化？消费在构建双循环新发展格局中扮演何种角色？全面促进消费面临着哪些结构性矛盾和改革任务？对此，结合以往的研究，适应新发展阶段的需求，我院以《中国消费》为主题形成2020-2021年度改革研究报告，对上述问题做出研究分析并提出相关的政策性建议。

２０２０ 年的新冠肺炎疫情给中国消费带来严重冲击。 在这个背景下， 未来５~１０ 年中国消费的增长趋势如何? 消费结构将发生哪些重要变化? 消费在构建双循环新发展格局中扮演何种角色? 全面促进消费面临着哪些结构性矛盾和改革任务? 对此， 结合以往的研究， 适应新发展阶段的需求，我院以?中国消费? 为主题形成２０２０—２０２１ 年度改革研究报告， 对上述问题做出研究分析并提出相关的政策性建议。